Publications

* Corresponding author

Publications in 2025

1. Dinesh A S, D. Sachan, Kumar P* Dvornikov A. Y. & Sein D. V. (2025), "Phytoplankton-light feedback delayed the appearance of Permanent Marine heatwave state in the Indian Ocean: insights from a regional earth system model.", Climate Dynamics. Link

Publications in 2024

2. D Sachan, Kumari A, Kumar P*(2024), "Projected climatic exposure and velocities of precipitation extremes over India and its biogeographic zones", International Journal of Climatology. Link
3. D Sachan, Kumar P*(2024), "Shifting climate and associated ecological impacts in the Indian subcontinent: Present and future outlook", Environmental Research Letters. Link
4. Dinesh A S, Kumar P*, Mishra A K, Pandey L K, Tewari M, Cabos W, Sein D V (2024), "Analyzing future marine cold spells in the tropical Indian ocean: Insights from a regional earth system model", Quarterly Journal of Royal Meteorological Society. Link
5. Golla S, Murukesh M, Kumar P* (2024), "Comparative assessment of image super-resolution techniques for spatial downscaling of gridded rainfall data", SN Computer Science. Link
6. Tiwari G, Kumar P*, Gupta R P (2024), "An evaluation of digital filtering and 4DVar data assimilation in the WRF model towards the simulation of tropical cyclones", Advances in Space Research. Link
7. Javed A, Kumar P* (2024), "Characteristic changes in the strengthening Western Disturbances over Karakoram in recent decades", Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences. Link

Publications in 2023

8. Sahu R, Gupta R D, Ramanathan A, Kumar P, Eidhammer T (2023), "Long-term annual and seasonal mass balance reconstruction and sensitivity analysis of Chhota Shigri Glacier in Western Himalaya", Environmental Science and Pollution Research. Link
9. Murukesh M, Golla S, Kumar P* (2023), "Downscaling and reconstruction of high-resolution gridded rainfall data over India using deep learning-based generative adversarial network", Modelling Earth Systems and Environment. Link
10. Kumar P*, Dinesh A S, Mishra A K, Pandey L K, Sein D V, Ryabchenko V A (2023), "Marine heatwaves intensification, expansion and departure into the permanent state over the Tropical Indian Ocean: a Regional Earth System Model assessment", Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans. Link
11. Sein D V, Martyanov S D, Dvornikov A Y, Cabos W, Ryabchenko V A, Mishra A K, Limareva N, Alekseeva A K, Jacob D, Kumar P (2023), "Future Climate Change in the Northern Indian Ocean as Simulated with a High-Resolution Regional Earth System Model", Climate Dynamics. Link
12. Kumar P*, Javed A, Kolli R K, D Sachan, Dinesh A S, Murukesh M, Sharma J, Giri R K, Pattanaik D R, Jha S K, Balasubramanian R, Mishra G D (2023), "National Colloquium for Advances in Weather and Climate Prediction and Climate Change Projection over South Asia: Applications in Water and Agriculture Sectors", Bulletin of American Meteorological Society. Link
13. Javed A, Anshuman K, Kumar P*, D Sachan (2023), "The decline in western disturbance activity over Northern India in recent decades", Climatic Change. Link
14. Kumar P*, Chakraborty A, Mishra S K, Prasad V S (2023), "Chapter-2: Climate Modelling, India's Climate Research Agenda: 2030 and beyond", Department of Science and Technology, Government of India. Link
15. Tiwari G and Kumar P* (2023), "Pertaining the application of the 4DVar and 4DEnVar WRFDA techniques to simulate tropical cyclones in the Bay of Bengal", Advances in Space Research. Link
16. Bar S, Parida B R, Pandey A C, Shankar U B, Kumar P, Panda S K, Behera M D (2023), "Modeling and prediction of fire occurrences along an elevational gradient in Western Himalayas", Applied Geography. Link
17. Kumari A and Kumar P* (2023), "Evaluation and future projection of the extreme precipitation over India and its homogeneous regions: A regional earth system model perspective", International Journal of Climatology. Link

Publications in 2022

18. Rajeevan M, Mohapatra M, Unnikrishnan C K, Geeth B, Balachandran S, Sreejith O P, Mukhopadhyay P, Pattanaik D R, Guhathakurta P, Kumar P, Kumar K N, Bhate J, Rohini P, Sharma M, Ashrit R, Mitra A, Sagar K (2022), "IMD Meteorological Monograph: Northeast Monsoon of South Asia", India Meteorological Department, MoES/IMD/Synoptic Met/02(2022)/27. Link
19. Khandare A M, Dubey A K, Kumar P*, Mishra A K (2022), "Projection of the Indian Summer Monsoon onset using a regionally coupled atmosphere ocean model", Theoretical and Applied Climatology. Link
20. Tiwari G, Kumar P*, Tiwari P (2022), "The appraisal of tropical cyclones in the North Indian Ocean: An overview of different approaches and the involvement of Earths components", Frontiers in Earth Science. Link
21. Sachan D, Kumar P*, Saharwardi M S (2022), "Contemporary Climate Change Velocity for Near-Surface Temperatures over India", Climatic Change. Link
22. Mishra A K, Kumar P*, Dubey A K, Jha S K, Sein D V, Cabos W (2022), "Demonstrating the asymmetry of the Indian Ocean Dipole response in regional earth system model of CORDEX-SA", Atmospheric Research. Link
23. Lal P, Dubey A K, Kumar A, Kumar P*, Dwivedi C S (2022), "Measuring the control of landscape modifications on surface temperature in India", Geocarto International. Link
24. Saharwardi M S, Kumar P*, Dubey A K, Kumari A (2022), "Understanding recent decades drought spatiotemporal variability and its drivers over identified homogenous regions of India", Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. Link
25. Kumar P*, Mallick S, Mishra A K, Dubey A K, Tiwari G, Sein D V, Cabos W, Jacob D (2022), "Regional earth system model for CORDEX-South Asia: A comparative assessment of RESM and ESM over the tropical Indian Ocean", International Journal of Climatology. Link
26. Vishwakarma B D , Ramsankaran R , Mohd. Farooq Azam, Bolch T, Mandal A, Srivastava S, Kumar P , Sahu R, Navinkumar P J, Tanniru S R, Javed A, Soheb M, Dimri A P , Yadav M, Devaraju B, Chinnasamy P, Reddy M J, Murugesan G P, Arora M, Jain S K, Ojha C, Harrison S, Bamber J L (2022), "Challenges in understanding the variability of the cryosphere in the Himalaya and its impact on the regional water resources", Frontiers in Water. Link
27. Tiwari G and Kumar P* (2022), "Predictive skill comparative assessment of WRF 4DVar and 3DVar data assimilation: an Indian Ocean tropical cyclone case study", Atmospheric Research. Link
28. Dubey A K and Kumar P* (2022), "Future projections of heatwave characteristics and dynamics over India using a high-resolution regional earth system model", Climate Dynamics. Link
29. Javed A, Kumar P*, Hodges K I, Sein D V, Dubey A K, Tiwari G (2022), "Does the recent revival of Western Disturbances govern the Karakoram Anomaly?", Journal of Climate. Link
30. Tiwari G, Kumar P*, Javed A, Mishra A K, Routray A (2022), "Assessing tropical cyclones characteristics over the Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal in the recent decades", Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics. Link
31. Mishra A K, Kumar P*, Dubey A K, Tiwari G, Sein D V (2022), "Impact of air-sea coupling on the simulation of Indian summer monsoon using a high- resolution Regional Earth System Model over CORDEX-SA", Climate Dynamics. Link
32. Kumar P*, Mishra A K, Dubey A K, Javed A, Saharwardi M S, Kumari A, Sachan D, Cabos W, Jacob D, Sein D V (2022), "Regional earth system modelling framework for CORDEX-SA: an integrated model assessment for Indian summer monsoon rainfall", Climate Dynamics. Link
33. Sein D V, Dvornikov A Y, Martyanov S D, Cabos W, Ryabchenko V A, Gröger M, Jacob D, Mishra A K, Kumar P (2022), "Indian ocean marine biogeochemical variability and its feedback on simulated South Asia climate", Earth System Dynamics. Link
34. Kumari A and Kumar P* (2022), "Contrasting changes in Precipitation Events during Active and Break Spells of Indian Summer Monsoon in Recent Decades", Climate Dynamics. Link

Publications in 2021

35. Sein D V, Dvornikov A Yu, Martyanov S D, Cabos W, Ryabchenko V A, Gröger M, Mishra A K, Kumar P, Gorchakov V A (2021), "Influence of the Water Temperature Phytoplankton Feedback on the Upper Layer Temperature of the Indian Ocean", Fundamental and Applied Hydrophysics. Link
36. Kumari A, Kumar P*, Dubey A K, Mishra A K, Saharwardi M S (2021), "Dynamical and Thermodynamical Aspect of Precipitation Events over India", International Journal of Climatology. Link
37. Tiwari G, R Arathi, Kumar P*, Javed A, Mishra A K (2021), "Understanding the post monsoon tropical cyclone variability and trend over the Bay of Bengal during the satellite era", Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. Link
38. Saharwardi M S, Kumar P*, Sachan D (2021), "Evaluation and Projection of Drought over India using high-resolution Regional Couple Model ROM", Climate Dynamics. Link
39. Dubey A K, Lal P, Kumar P*, Kumar A, Dvornikov A Y (2021), "Present and Future Projections of Heatwave Hazard-Risk over India: A Regional Earth System Model Assessment", Environmental Research. Link
40. Saharwardi M S, Kumar P* (2021), "Future drought changes and associated uncertainty over the homogenous regions of India: a multimodel approach", International Journal of Climatology. Link
41. Mishra A K, Kumar P*, Dubey A K, Javed A, Saharwardi M S, Sein D V, Martyanov S D, Jacob D (2021), "Impact of horizontal resolution on monsoon precipitation for CORDEX-South Asia: A regional earth system model assessment", Atmospheric Research. Link
42. Dubey A K, Kumar P* (2021), "Predictive relationships between winter climate and hot season temperatures over India", International Journal of Climatology. Link
43. Dubey A K, Kumar P*, Saharwardi M S, Javed A (2021), "Understanding the hot season dynamics and variability across India", Weather and Climate Extremes. Link
44. Saharwardi M S, Mahadeo S A, Kumar P* (2021), "Understanding drought dynamics and variability over Bundelkhand region", Journal of Earth System Science. Link

Publications in 2020

45. Sein Dimitry, Yu Anton, Dvornikov, Martyanov Stanislav, David CabosNarvaez William, Ryabchenko Vladimir, Groeger Matthias, Kumar P (2020), "Impact of the Indian Ocean temperature - phytoplankton feedback on simulated South Asia climate", Earth and Space Science Open Archive (discussion). Link
46. Sharma Sahil, Kumari Amita, M Navajyoth, Kumar P*, Saharwardi Md. Saquib (2020), "Impact of air-sea interaction during two contrasting monsoon seasons", Theoretical and Applied Climatology. Link
47. F Tangang, J X Chung, L Juneng, S Supari, E Salimun, S T Ngai, A F Jamaluddin, M S Faisal, F Cruz, G Narisma, J Santisirisomboon, T Ngo-Duc, T V Phan, P Singhruck, D Gunawan, E Aldrian, A Sopaheluwakan, N Grigory, A Remedio, D Sein, DHein-Griggs, J L. McGregor, H Yang, H Sasaki, Kumar P (2020), "Projected Future Changes in Rainfall in Southeast Asia based on CORDEX – SEA Multi-model Simulations", Climate Dynamics. Link
48. Everard Mark, Ahmed Shakeel, Gagnon Alexandre, Kumar P, T Thomas, Sinha Sumit, Dixon Harry and Sarkar Sunita (2020), "Can nature-based solutions contribute to water security in Bhopal ?", Science of the Total Environment.Link

Publications in 2019

49. Kumar P*, Saharwardi Md. Saquib, Banerjee Argha, Azam Mohd. Farooq, Dubey A. K. and Murtugudde Raghu (2019), "Snowfall Variability Dictates Glacier Mass Balance Variability in Himalaya-Karakoram", Nature Scientific Report. Link
50. Lal P., Dubey A. K., A. Kumar, Kumar P* and Dwivedi C. S. (2019), "SAR - Optical Remote Sensing Based Forest Cover and Greenness Estimation Over INDIA", ISPRS. Link

Publications in 2017

51. Engelhardt M, Leclercq P, Eidhammer T, Kumar P, Landgren O, and Rasmussen R (2017), "Meltwater runoff in a changing climate (1951-2099) at Chhota Shigri Glacier, Western Himalaya, Northern India", Annals of Glaciology. Link
52. Engelhardt M, Ramanathan A, Eidhammer T, Kumar P, Landgren O, Mandal A and Rasmussen R (2017), "Modelling 60 years of glacier mass balance and runoff for Chhota Shigri Glacier, Western Himalaya, Northern India", Journal of Glaciology. Link

Publications before 2015

53. Koldunov N, Kumar P, Rasmussen R, Ramanathan AL, Nesje A, Engelhardt M, Tiwari M, Haensler A, Jacob D (2015), "Identifying climate change information needs for the Himalaya region - Results from the GLACINDIA Stakeholder Workshop and Training Program", Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. Link
54. Kumar P*, S. Kotlarski, C. Moseley, K. Sieck, H. Frey, M. Stoffel, and D. Jacob (2015), "Response of Karakoram-Himalayan glaciers to climate variability and climatic change: A regional climate model assessment". Geophysical Research Letters. Link
55. Kumar P*, Podzun R, Hagemann S and Jacob D (2014) "Impact of modified soil thermal characteristic on the simulated monsoon climate over South Asia", Journal of Earth System Science. Link
56. Neha M, Mishra A, Singh R, Kumar P (2014) "Assessing future changes in seasonal climatic extremes in the Ganges river basin using an ensemble of regional climate models", Climate Change. Link
57. Teichmann C, Eggert B, Elizalde A, Haensler A, Jacob D, Kumar P, Moseley C, Pfeifer S, Rechid D, Remedio A, Ries H, Petersen J, Preuschmann S, Raub T, Saeed F, Sieck K, Weber T (2013) "How does a regional climate model modify the projected climate change signal of the driving GCM: A study over different CORDEX regions using REMO", Atmosphere. Link
58. Biemans, H., Speelman L, Ludwig F, Moors E, Wiltshire A, Kumar P, Gerten D, Kabat P (2013) "Future water resources for food production in five South Asian river basins and potential for adaptation - a modelling study", Science of Total Environment. Link
59. Siderius C, Biemans H, Wiltshire A, Rao S, Franssen W, Kumar P, Gosain A, Vliet M, Collins D (2013) "Snowmelt contributions to discharge of the Ganges", Science of Total Environment. Link
60. Kumar P*, Wiltshire A, Mathison C, Asharaf S, Ahrens B, Lucas-Picher P, Christensen J, Gobiet A, Saeed F, Hagemann S, Jacob D (2013) "Downscaled climate change projections with uncertainty assessment over India using a high resolution multi-model approach", Science of Total Environment. Link
61. Dimri A P, T. Yasunari T, Wiltshire A, Kumar P, Mathison C, Ridley J and Jacob D (2013) "Application of regional climate models to the Indian winter monsoon over the western Himalayas", Science of Total Environment. Link
62. Mathison C, Wiltshire A, Kumar P , Dimri A P, Jeff Ridley J, Jacob D, Pete Falloon, T. Yasunari, Siderius C (2013) "Regional Projections of South Asian Climate for Adaptation studies", Science of Total Environment. Link
63. Jacob D, Elizalde A; Haensler A, Hagemann S, Kumar P, Podzun R, Rechid D, Remedio A, Saeed F, Sieck K, Teichmann C, Wilhelm C (2012) "Assessing the Transferability of the Regional Climate Model REMO to Different COordinated Regional Climate Downscaling EXperiment (CORDEX) Regions", Atmosphere. Link
64. Lucas-Picher P, Christensen J H, Saeed F, Kumar P, Asharaf S, Ahrens B, Wiltshire A, Jacob D, Hagemann S (2011), "Can regional climate models represent the Indian monsoon ?", Journal of Hydrometeorology. Link
65. Eddy M, Hester B, Groot A, Terwissch van Scheltinga C, Siderius C, Stoffel M, Huggelb C, Wiltshire A, Mathison C, Ridley J, Jacob D, Kumar P, Bhadwal S, Gosain A, Collins D N (2011) "Adaptation to changing water resources of the Ganges basin in northern India", Environmental Science & Policy. Link
66. Kumar P*, K. RupaKumar, Rajeevan M and Sahai A K (2007) "On the recent strengthening of the relationship between ENSO and Northeast monsoon rainfall over south Asia", Climate Dynamics. Link
67. Kripalani R H and Kumar P (2004) "Northeast Monsoon Rainfall Variability over South Peninsular India vis-\E0-vis Indian Ocean Dipole Mode", International Journal of Climatology. Link

Proceedings/Reports

Proceedings/Reports in 2020

• Kumar P, Ryabchenko Vladimir A. , Aaquib Javed, Sein Dmitry V., and Md. Farooq Azam "Forcings of mass-balance variability in Karakoram-Himalaya.", EGU General Assembly 2020. Link
• Dubey Swatantra Kumar ,Kumar P, Sharma Devesh, A. K. Dubey, and Saharwardi Md. Saquib "Climate Change Impact on Water Yield and Water Security in the Semi-arid Region of Rajasthan, India.", EGU General Assembly 2020. Link
• Saharwardi Md Saquib and Kumar P "Drought variability and projections over India under high emission scenario with uncertainty assessment.", EGU General Assembly 2020. Link
• Stanislav D. Martyanov, Sein Dmitry V., Ryabchenko Vladimir A. , Dvornikov Anton Y., and Kumar P "The influence of water temperature-phytoplankton feedback in a Regional Earth System Model upon the hydrography and biogeochemistry of the northern Indian Ocean.", EGU General Assembly 2020.Link
• Dmitry Sein, William Cabos, Kumar P, Ryabchenko Vladimir A., Stanislav Martyanov, and Anton Dvornikov "Impact of biogeochemistry feedbacks on the projected climate change signal over the Indian Continent.", EGU General Assembly 2020. Link
• Kumari Amita, Kumar P and and A. K. Dubey "On the Impacts of Extreme Precipitation over Central India under the present and projected climate.", International Conferences on Climate Services 2020. Link



Proceedings/Reports in 2019

• A. K. Dubey, Kumar P, and Saharwardi Md Saquib "Heatwave Characteristics and trend in Homogeneous regions of India.", Sixth International Conference on Climate Services 2019 IITM Pune. Link
• A. K. Dubey and Kumar P "Heatwave and global circulation patterns teleconnections over India", AGU Fall Meeting 2019. Link
• Javed Aaquib , Tiwari Gaurav and Kumar P "A study on hydro-climatic variability of Himalayan glaciers using a high resolution dynamically coupled glacier-climate regional model", C2E2 Himalaya 2019: IIT Mandi, India. Link
• Kumar P "The response of Himalayan glaciers to climate variability and climatic change", C2E2 Himalaya 2019: IIT Mandi, India. Link
• Tiwari Gaurav , Javed Aaquib and Kumar P "Numerical simulation and dynamics analysis of a cloud burst event on 8 August, 2015 over Mandi district, Himachal Pradesh using high resolution WRF model", C2E2 Himalaya 2019: IIT Mandi, India. Link



Proceedings/Reports before 2018

• Kumari Amita and Kumar P "The unprecedented changes in the South Asian Monsoon precipitation in the future warming scenario", TROPMET-2018. Link
• Kumar P "Indicators and drivers of mass-balance over Karakoram-Himalayan glaciers", TROPMET-2018. Link
• Sharma Sahil , Kumar P, Dube Anumeha, Bhatla R. "Verification of Medium Range Probabilistic Rainfall Forecasts over India", TROPMET-2018. Link
• Kumar P (2012) HighNoon: First assessment of Himalayan Glaciers with regional model. Link
• Kumar P (2011) The Fate of the Big Rain, Max Planck Research Magazine, No.1, 2011. Link
• Kumar P, Podzun R, Jacob D (2009) MPI regional climate model REMO simulations over South Asia, 2nd International Lund RCM Workshop, 4 - 8 May 2009, Lund, Sweden. Link
• Moors, E.J., Harding, R., Biemans, H., Collins, D., Froebrich, J., Gosain, A., Groot, A., Haerter, J., Kumar, P., Shrestha, M.L., Ludwig, F., Mishra, A., Sarthi, P.P., Rees, G., Terwisscha Van Scheltinga, C.T.H.M., Tomar, S., Siderius, C., Stoffel, M., Werners, S.E. (2009) Water Resources of the Ganga under a Changing Climate: interaction between Glaciers and Monsoon in the Himalaya In: Proceedings of the 37th IAH congress, 6-12 September, Hyderabad, India. - Hyderabad, India: IAHS, 37th IAHS Congress, 2009-09-06/ 2009-09-12. Link
• Wiltshire A, Kumar P, Hagemann S, Ridley J (2010) HighNoon: Report on domain sizes for RCMs and topography. Link
• Wiltshire A and Kumar P (2010) RCM simulation on recent past. Link
• Wiltshire A, Mathison C, Ridley J, Kumar P, Jacob D (2010) Climate simulation 1989-2050. Link
• Wiltshire A, Mathison S, Ridley J, Witham C, McSweeny C, Kumar P, Jacob D (2010) Analysis of climate uncertainty. Link
• Kumar P, Wiltshire A (2011) Report on the analysis of model changes to be applied. Link
• Wiltshire A, Kumar P, Mathison C, Jacob D (2011), Report on Dataset of modified model simulations. Link
• Mathison C, Wiltshire A, Dimri A P, Falloon P, Jacob D, Kumar P, Moors E, Ridley J, Siderius, C, Stoffel M, Yasunari T, Wednesday (2012) Report on the analysis of RAM performance. Link
• Yasunari T, Dimri A P, Wiltshire A, Kumar P, Mathison C, Ridley J (2012) Role of topography on winter precipitation over the western Himalayas. Link
• Collins D N, Siderius C, Biemans H, Rao S, Wiltshire A, Franssen W H, Kumar P, Gosain A K, van Vliet M T H (2012) Report on intercomparison of the relative performance of the three modelling approaches. Link

h1 style="font-size:18px;"> Running (or associated with) Projects

• Seed Grant: 2016- : To study the impact of Climate change over India using high- resolution climate model data

  GLACINDIA : 2014 - - : Project focuses on water related effects of changes in glacier mass balance and river run-off in western Himalaya, India: past, present and future. Project is a collaborative effort between European, Indian, and USA partner institutes.

• ACQWA : 2008 - 2013: Assessing Climate impacts on the Quantity and quality of Water

  HIGHNOON : 2009 - 2012: Adaptation to changing water resources availability in northern India with Himalayan glacier retreat and changing monsoon pattern. Project was a collaborative effort between European, Indian, and Japan partner institutes.

• CORDEX : Actively participating (voluntary) in WCRP-sponsored program to organize an international coordinated framework to produce an improved generation of regional climate change projections world-wide for input into impact and adaptation studies within the IPCC AR5 time-line and beyond. Study regional domain is South-Asia with a focus over India. For CORDEX South-Asia domain several production (1950-2100) simulation are performed using forcing from several RCP's of two IPCCAR5 GCMs.